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Colloquium with Kursad Tosun, Siena College

Date:  Tuesday, November 5, 2019

TIme: 3pm

Location: Rocky 300

TItle: A Class of Stochastic Epidemic Models

Abstract: Infectious diseases are caused by types of bacteria, viruses, parasites, and fungi around us. If we understand how these diseases are transmitted, we can use this knowledge to help prevent the epidemic or to eradicate the disease. The spread of a disease depends not only on known clinical factors but unknown random events. The following question will help you understand this randomness.  If one of your friends has a cold and shakes hands with you, will you be infected too?  Your answer is likely to contain “possibly,” “perhaps,” or “depends.” The transmission of an infectious disease is a random process, it involves chance. So, how can we express this mathematically? Let's discuss it together on Tuesday, November 5th.